NASCAR betting odds for drivers to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Posted June 17, 2019

So it comes down to this. The final race of this lengthy NASCAR season. After 35 points paying races, the last 4 drivers who will race for the championship Sunday have been determined.

Considering that the elimination format to pick a winner was introduced two years back the winner has also won the race. Odds are then that the winner of the race Sunday will even wear the Cup crown. Others could win, but three of those last five race winners dating back to Tony Stewart at 2011, also have won the name, so don’t be surprised if the motorist celebrating a race triumph in victory lane Sunday, can also be celebrating his championship.

Here is how it shakes out among the four finalists for Sunday’s 36th race of the year for your betting or fantasy racing leagues. Driver Ratings are compiled from 2005-2016 races (23 total) among active drivers in Phoenix. The Driver Rating is a number based on a formula developed by NASCAR which combines”loop data” components such as average running position, average rate under green, variety of workouts, and other stats. There is a maximum of 150 points a driver can make for each race. The odds are present as of Wednesday.

1. Carl Edwards (7-1). Edwards has two wins here along with the highest driver rating among the 4, 109.4. The only driver among the Championship 4 with multiple wins at Homestead, Edwards still has memories of losing the race, and the name, to Tony Stewart in 2011. Part of the Joe Gibbs Racing team, Edwards will be seeking salvation Sunday, and he might just get it.

2. Jimmie Johnson (7-2). Homestead is one of those very few tracks in NASCAR which Johnson hasn’t won at. He runs well here though and has the 2nd highest driver evaluation of this 4, 96.7. Johnson will be looking to make history Sunday with a title. If he brings his”A” game and may avoid some of the miscues that the team has suffered this year occasionally, Johnson could just pull it off.

3. Kyle Busch (5-1). Busch is seeking to defend his title, earned by a win at Homestead this past year. He has the third greatest driver rating, 95.5. But he barely made the Championship 4, and has struggled sometimes. However, with one final race and an opportunity to add another title, and Joe Gibbs Racing behind him, Busch could be in position to add another triumph, and another title.

4. Joey Logano (7-1). Logano is possibly the underdog one of the Championship 4. He’s never won at Homestead, has the lowest driver evaluation among the area, 83.5. However, Logano finished fourth here last year and headed the 2nd most laps in the race, 72. Logano was astonishing at times this season and he could surely be a surprise Sunday by winning his first Cup title.

OTHERS: There will be a total of 36 other motorists trying to win Sunday. Chief among them, Matt Kenseth (12-1). Kenseth has the second greatest driver rating one of the field, 108.4, and won here in 2007. Coming off a disappointing finish at Phoenix last week, Kenseth will be looking to make a strong statement. Kevin Harvick (6-1) was frustrated last week since he failed to make the cut for the first time because the removal format started. He also won the race, and the name in 2014, has the fifth greatest driver evaluation, 104.3, and may add another win for his Homestead resume Sunday.

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway will be run on Sunday, November 20. Live coverage will be on NBC starting at 2:00 p.m. ET with all the green flag coming only after 2:30 p.m. ET.