NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

Posted July 12, 2019

For the first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the leader at the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of this year and also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds provide him a 9-4 chance to get it as he starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other top contenders at this .75-mile short track. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into account.

The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. His version simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019we could inform you that the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond autumn race at 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s shown the speed required to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week at Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The version can also be targeting two other motorists using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.

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