NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

Posted July 11, 2019

After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, listed at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two in Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen has been back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen this past year and is recorded at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen choices, you need to find out exactly what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has a proven history in a number of sports. It also forces McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events in this way have been in his blood, and his version has been beating its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several enormous calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it pinpointed five of the top 10 at Bristol and a couple of the top five in Daytona, just to name a couple. Anyone following its selections this year is way, way up.

Now the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is secured, SportsLine mimicked the occasion 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

One sudden pick from the model for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances to win at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the best 10. He’s a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his stellar starting position of third.

Elliott remains in search of the first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the last seven starts, but was only 19th at Chicago and 34th in Daytona last month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again began close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) at the final clinics for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the version says he’s a popular to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best chances at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He has had lots of success on road tracks, including winning final year. But he’s a risky choice at these chances because he’s got an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career and has finished 10th or worse in three of the last six races . There are better values available in this Go Bowling at The Glen field.

Instead, the version is targeting two enormous underdogs with odds longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, such as a monster long haul. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it rich.