UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier II Odds, Betting Guides for All 13 Fights
UFC 236 occurs Saturday night in Atlanta, and you can watch the five-fight principal card live on ESPN+. The card is ripe with exciting fights throughout the night, but a vast majority of fans will probably be most-interested at the event’s final two fights for the interim middleweight and lightweight titles.
We already have you covered with in-depth gambling analysis on the main and co-main event…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that doesn’t mean we still can’t learn a thing or 2 on the night’s extra 11 struggles!
What follows is a short breakdown on every matchup in UFC 236 in an effort to discover enough about every fighter to make a more educated wager on them if your heart desires.
UFC 236
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier was on a war path since returning to lightweight in April, 2015. In general, he’s won eight of his last 10 battles and suffered just 1 loss (KO into Michael Johnson) and one no competition in his first fight against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among active UFC lightweights in dramatic differential per minute at +2.69.
Both Poirier (7.11 strikes per second ) and Holloway (6.9) rank among the top-five highest-volume strikers in the entire UFC. Holloway’s volume is similar to an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overpowering as the battle continues.
Holloway’s last battle was arguably the best championship performance in UFC history. In general, his 290 considerable strikes in a fight broke the UFC tournament record.
Holloway started the week as a -230 favorite, but activity has come in heavily on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum managed to record at least one knockdown against former champions Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort throughout his hellacious run during the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two mixtures have been hard for just about all of his opponents do deal with during his career.
Israel’The previous Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing winner that has rung up a 16-0 record to start his own mixed martial arts career. He will not need anything to do with Gastelum — a state championship wrestler in high school — about the floor, but we’ve yet to see someone come near out-classing Adesanya around the toes during his five UFC wins.
Adesanya started the week as a -175 favored, but has since transferred to -185 supporting the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban at Alabama from 2006-2009 before beginning his mixed martial arts career. All three of Anders’ livelihood losses have come in his last four fights, but these were two split-decision losses along with one TKO loss via referee stoppage during his short-notice light heavyweight introduction against Thiago Santos, who will fight Jon Jones to the branch’s championship in July.
Rountree listed the biggest victory of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but was pumped out by increasing contender Johnny Walker last November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it hard for him to win fights by any way other than a finish, and he has accordingly lost both of his career UFC fights who have made it past the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will be giving up a five-inch reach advantage to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban throughout his 11-fight UFC profession, but he’s 3-1 in fights with a reach benefit of three or more inches. Meanwhile, the Grant is 1-1 at the UFC with a success over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) plus a split-decision loss to Zak Ottow (72-inch reach).
The x-factor within this struggle might end up being quantity. Jouban finds himself one of the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), significant strike precision (No. 7), strikes landed per minute (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has quite literally had a fight go to the judges in 30 livelihood MMA fights. Including 10 battles inside the Octagon, which have featured three wins by TKO/KO and three by entry compared to three declines by submission as well as one by TKO.
This is in fact a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round entry. The finish comprised Saint Preux’s signature submission: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts enormous elevation (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and attain (77 inches vs. 71) benefits over Frevola, although that advantage could be mitigated if the latter fighter can instigate his takedown-heavy attack. Turner was last observed starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back at UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is currently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight ahead of his departure with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has lost three of his last four fights, they have come from a high-level competitors such as John Moraga, current flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former winner Demetrious Johnson. Both Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have average fight times that could indicate we’ll see this battle last into the next round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 chances. Public support has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won all eight of the struggles by TKO or KO. He’s making his debut within the octagon against Max Griffin, who has lost four of the last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There is a bit of terrible blood here, as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his opponent…
“He’s an ass, man. He’s not a fantastic guy… I really don’t like the man… I am looking forward to showing him what it is like.”
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven seven career fights (by split-decision). Salmon won his final fight against Ricky Turcios about the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He’ll hold a four-inch height advantage of Taha, who has dropped two of his last 3 fights. Backing Salmon at his ancient -135 chances was one of my favorite stakes on the card, but he still offers a bit of worth at his current -150 chances.
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UFC 236 Historical Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought just last month at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, finally losing by submission (rear-naked choke) to Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad continues to be busy, as he endured a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts four and three inch height and reach advantages, respectively, although Muhammad has been much more of a takedown hazard during his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson started the week as a -500 favored, but has since moved higher. He’s the largest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a professional and is being fed to Jackson, who has lost only once in eight career bouts.
Women Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both these girls have high striking rates and do not waste their time getting started. This is particularly true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest end in the history of the UFC women’s branch back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional fights, while Davis is only 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will probably be inside the octagon for the first time in his career, while Davis has apparently never fought 135 lbs.
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